Monday, March 3, 2014

AAP ke Side Effects

Listing below the major decisions taken by AAP during 48 days in Delhi and their side effects. Most of these side effects are already visible and other will become visible sooner than later.

1. Electricity bill waiver only for those who supported AAP during election campaign
Side Effects:
  • Direct case of buying votes against favor
  • Also direct case of corruption cause the benefit given is at the cost of governments fund and not from AAP’s fund.

2. Electricity waiver through subsidy
Side Effects:
  • Money taken from PWD budget. So no more money to clean Delhi.
  • Money given to Power Company (the same company whom they blame to be corrupt)
  • Electricity tariff hiked by 8% else Delhi may face power cuts
  • Major effect will be seen after Delhi receives its first heavy rain this monsoon and the drainage will get clogged and the government will not have funds to clear it up.

3. Free water to metered house
Side Effects:
  • Benefit to middle class and rich class who do not need this subsidy.
  • Poor without meter still at large from water. Tanker mafia became more active.
  • Make way for the new plumbing mafia which will do workaround on the meters.

4. Delhi Jal board officials shuffled
Side Effects:
  • Corruption rates became higher. Beause the corrupt officers have to re-establish themselves in the new area.
  • Corruption still rampant in Jal board (source: Aajtak Sting on 3rd march 2014)

5. Auto Rckshaw drivers can no more be fined for Refusal to ply, overcharging or misbehavior
Side Effects:
  • That was the primary reason for the 16th dec Gang rape in Delhi as near 6-7 auto wallas refused to go.
  • Rickshaw drivers can now ask for any exorbitant rates which people will have to pay
  • This move again a payback by AAP for supporting them in election adding to public inconvenience.

6. About 90% Reservation in Delhi University for locals
Side Effects:
  • Most of the northern states talent seek admission in DU. This will debar deserving candidates from small towns of states like Haryana, Rajasthan, UP, Uttarakhand and more.
  • A new kind of regional politics at play.

7. Interference in policy of private schools of Delhi who do not take any funding from government
Side Effects:
  • Instead of increasing quality of government school, this decision will bring the quality of private schools close to the present sorry state of government schools. Is this the idea of equality AAP wants to bring in?
Overall 

"AAP fighting elections" 

Biggest side effect of this is: Delhi deprived of stable government

I guess sooner or later the Delhi junta who voted for AAP would be humming the song "O Pappe tujhe vote deke pachtaaya" ;)

PS: I know AAP supporters will call me "uneducated". I am better off being "uneducated" than an "educated fool"

Friday, January 10, 2014

Why I don't endorse Arvind Kejriwal.

Let me first tell you that I have no questions or doubts over credibility of AK. However I do have some doubts over his integrity since he formed a govt with Congress support. But those are still doubts and he can be given the benefit of it. However, what I don’t support in AK is his competence to run a government. Yes, I may end up facing lots of criticism for this but let me try to provide a rational explanation behind the statement. I know when a person is blindfolded by passion, rationality goes out of the window. I have been there during Anna movement.

Let us now try to think how a competent and rational person would behave once he attains office. In ideal ways, the person would first take stock of situation on every aspect. Right from the present budget, deficits, revenues, receivables, burn rate etc etc. All in all a detailed financials of the state. However, what AK did was to announce two subsidies. One in electricity and other in water. Both being an example of how immature he is.

In fact the announcements came as if he is trying to make a record of fulfilling manifesto promises. That seat is not provided to him to create records but to govern a state. Anyways, let me tell you why both the decisions are not wise from the process point of view.

For electricity, he did quick calculations to tell that how much it will cost the government for the last quarter of this Financial year. However, he failed to answer that how government would fund it. He has not even taken a stock of the present status of Delhi’s budget for this financial year. He has no answer yet that which departments budget he plans to cut to supply funds for this subsidy. This is a gross mistake because eventually it may be revealed that the real cost of production and distribution itself is higher because there is lot of power theft in Delhi. I am telling this from my own experience. What instead he should have done much before declaring subsidy, is to curb that aspect. Minimizes losses and overheads and then recalculate the actual cost. One has to remember that to supply earth  to one place, one has to dig another.

Now take the case of Water. He gave free water and that too with a cap. Now let me explain how the cap part is more harmful. Remember the days when all the LPG cylinders were subsidized? Black marketing used to happen but the customers of this black market were only those who did not have connection. Those who had connection were victimized by the delays only.  But now by putting the cap, the customers of black market include people who have connection. On my connection I have three unknown bookings and deliveries which I have no idea about. This is the real example. In fact Bharat gas gives a transparency portal to check your number of connections. Do check and you may realize even you are a victim. Well, I am taking this matter with the gas agency now and will have to spend time and efforts towards it. But coming back to water. Now instead of tanker mafia, get ready to welcome plumbing mafia. Who will give you ten different ways to bypass/speed down the meter.

Also another fact is that the water subsidies will be towards the people who have connections. So there is nothing for the people who still rely on tanker mafia. So the rich (or who have access to FB / twitter) have got the relief and poor still face the shortage.

Now that the Delhi is in his hands (at least six months before which even a no-confidence motion cannot be placed), shouldn’t the party focus on the state and prove its competence by running it for at least one budget year? Why is so much of an urgency to recruit fresher and place them in Lok Sabha? This brings doubts towards their integrity.

Anyways, my only suggestion towards APP supporters is that do support what you believe but don’t do it blindly. Ask questions. Don’t just defend them by saying it needs time. If AAP really needs time then my vote is reserved against them till the time comes. I will not jeopardize country’s future by voting an unproven set of people no matter how integral they are.